Elections@Knox: 2020

The US presidential elections raise interest across the globe. Because of this, there seems to be an entire industry dedicated to estimating current support in — and predicting the eventual winner of — these quadrennial contests. Some perform their own polls. Others aggregate those polls (in various fashions) to improve the estimates.

Examples of the former include^†

• Marist University
• Monmouth University
• Quinnipiac University
• Rasmussen Reports
• YouGov

Examples of the latter include^†

• FiveThirtyEight
• RealClearPolitics
• This Site

This website contains graphics and estimates of our aggregation model. This model aggregates multiple polling sources, simply weighted, to better estimate the likelihood that the candidate will will the Presidency of the United States of America. It takes into consideration the national polls, the state polls, and the structure of the US Electoral College.

Contact

The following are contact details for Dr. Forsberg:

Address:	Ole J. Forsberg Knox College 2 E. South St. Campus Box K-6; SMC E-212 Galesburg, IL, USA 61401-4999
TEL:	+1 309-341-7894
FAX:	+1 309-341-7040
E-mail:	📧	ojforsberg@knox.edu
ORCiD:		https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2076-350X
Twitter:		https://twitter.com/Forsberg370
LinkedIn:		https://www.linkedin.com/in/oleforsberg/

 

^† As always, mention of product does not consttute endorsement. These lists merely provide evidence of existence. Inclusion in the list should not suggest that I find these sources exceptional in any manner.